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Thursday, April 8, 2010

EOD Trading

Horse Players

Track Horse Bet Payoff Paid
Aqueduct - 6 6 Chromospere $2.30 $28.75
Keeneland - 6 Captin Canuck $0.00 ($25.00)
Aqueduct - 7 9 Grace And Courage $2.90 $36.25
Aqueduct - 7 7 Fiona Storm $2.30 $28.75
Keeneland - 7 8 Grassy $3.20 $40.00
Aqueduct - 8 5 Telemachus $0.00 ($25.00)
Keeneland - 8 5 Witty $0.00 ($25.00)
Total $58.75
Total Inv. $150.00
ROI 39.17%

Mid Afternoon- Update

AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc. 9.66 9.4 -2.69%
MS Morgan Stanley 30.02 30.71 2.30%
AUY Yamana Gold, Inc. 10.68 10.57 -1.03%
ABX Barrick Gold Corporation 40.7 40.84 0.34%
GG Goldcorp Inc. 39.87 40.01 0.35%
HGSI Human Genome Sciences Inc. 32.35 32.67 0 .97%
FSLR First Solar, Inc. 126.6 125.93 -0.53%
GOLD Randgold Resources Ltd. 83 82.48 -0.63%

Morning Fututres - Snapshot












Looks like we are heading lower this morning. Initial Jobs Claims in about 20 min will be announced.

AMD Advanced Micro Devices Inc. Technology 9.66
MS Morgan Stanley Financial 30.02
AUY Yamana Gold, Inc. Basic Materials 10.68
ABX Barrick Gold Corporation Basic Materials 40.7
GG Goldcorp Inc. Basic Materials 39.87
HGSI Human Genome Sciences Inc. Healthcare 32.35
FSLR First Solar, Inc. Technology 126.6
GOLD Randgold Resources Ltd. Basic Materials 83

Monday, April 5, 2010

LVS - Updated EOD














Very nice run in the gaming sector today. LVS, WYNN and MGM . . . Still looking for an up move on the properties openings in Singapore at the end of month.

May 21 Call
21.00LJJ100522C000210003.30Up 1.303.403.458601,856

LVS - Updated














Well LVS has found some more of its footing this morning. LVS is marching higher at the time of this post and will probably continue to do so into the launching of the new Singapore property. WYNN on Thursday was up a dollar, while LVS was up only .15 cent for the end of trading on Thursday. Friday markets were closed. Lagger LVS and MGM. Hummm . . . We like LVS and WYNN for casino plays into the opens of their properties in Singapore at the end of this month.

May 21 Call
21.00LJJ100522C000210002.72Up 0.722.682.722881,856

A very nice return on investment $1.95 initial from Thursday closing price. 10 contract = $730 minus commission. Looking for any major pullback to mid flag range to re-buy options. MGM made a $1.00 run into the opening of Aira on Dec 16, 2009; in Las Vegas, maybe this will be the same effect for LVS and WYNN. Time will tell.

Saturday, April 3, 2010

LVS - Marina Bay Sands - Singapore - April 27, 2010 Opening









































Updated:


CONSTRUCTION UPDATE – 3rd March 2010

The magnificent Sands SkyPark is beginning to look like a park with more than 20 trees now planted 200 meters in the air. The 150-meter swimming pool is taking shape too.

The hotel rooms have been fitted out up to Level 40. All the tower cranes have been removed from the roofs of the casino and the Sands Expo and Convention Center. Roof cladding on both buildings is nearly complete. Concrete work continues at the two crystal pavilions.

ReCap:

Marina Bay Sands Chief Executive Officer Thomas Arasi said the property is planning for 963 hotel rooms, part of the shopping mall and convention center, celebrity chef restaurants along with other dining outlets and the casino to open on April 27 subject to construction proceeding as scheduled and being able to attain the necessary regulatory approvals.

The second phase, which includes the Sands SkyPark(TM), the Event Plaza along Marina Bay, more shops from the world's leading retailers, additional dining options, and exciting nightlife offerings, will open on June 23 as part of the property's grand opening celebration, Mr. Arasi said. In October, one of the property's two state-of-the-art theatres will welcome Disney's The Lion King.

The second theatre, which will also open later this year, will be home to a variety of special events and famous headline acts. The iconic Marina Bay Sands museum, expected to open by December, will not only feature international blockbuster exhibitions, but it will also serve -- with its unique lotus-inspired design -- as a symbolic welcome to guests from around the globe.

"We are intently focused on meeting our construction time-line and preparing our team for opening and operating this extraordinary destination. We extend our gratitude to the people and government of Singapore for their steadfast support. We are confident Marina Bay Sands will make Singaporeans proud and that it will have visitors from all parts of the world traveling to Singapore to see it themselves."

LVS - MAY 21 CALL





Implied volatility inflates the price of an option’s extrinsic value; i.e., time value. When implied volatility rises, so do option prices because the time value associated with those options is more expensive. Conversely, falling implied volatility produces cheaper options.

If you buy options when implied volatility is high, you run the risk of a subsequent drop in implied volatility and a corresponding drop in the price of your options. As an option seller you can take advantage of the rich implied volatility levels and then buy back the same options after implied volatility subsides.

Buying options when implied volatility is low reduces the chance of a subsequent drop in values and positions you to profit should implied volatility rise.

Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

LVS - Updated














CNBC did a repeat (three days ago) of an unfavorable story on $LVS and Triad connections in Macau, which caused the stock to drop lower in this very low volume and holiday shorten market week.
LVS - needs to hold this lower support line - if it breaks this on heavy volume could see lower prices.

Monday, March 29, 2010

LVS - Updated














Marina Bay Sands, Singapore's second casino complex, is scheduled to open on April 27. It is now being completed by US-based Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS). Singapore welcomed 9.7 million visitors last year, down 4.3% from 2008, as the global recession hit travel demand, but arrivals have begun to pick up. There were 908,000 visitors in January, up 17.6% from a year ago.

HONG KONG (Dow Jones)--Sands China Ltd. (1928.HK), the Macau unit of casino operator Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS), postponed a news conference for a signing ceremony with contractors to restart construction of its massive casino expansion project in Cotai. The postponement raises the possibility the project could face further delays after construction was halted in 2008 at the height of the financial crisis. The company said in a statement Sunday it would provide more details on the postponement "in due course." It declined to give further details when contacted by Dow Jones Newswires on Monday.
The postponement comes amid speculation among analysts that the Macau government has been reluctant to offer substantial quotas to construction companies to employ workers from China as local workers have criticized the government for importing too much foreign labor, contributing to unemployment.

In a recent report, Credit Suisse said the Macau government's labor policy could affect the construction schedule of Sands China's expansion project, noting 10,000 construction workers were previously working on the project and less than 50% of them were from Macau. In February, Sands China President Steve Jacobs rejected media reports that the Macau government had denied the company's request to import labor. Earlier this month, Sands China said it planned to "get into high levels of actual construction" of its casino and hotel expansion project in Cotai in March. The project will be home to the world's biggest casino as well as Shangri-La, Traders and Sheraton hotels. The company said at the time it targeted a July 2011 completion date for the project.

Friday, March 26, 2010

Morning Watchlist


Ticker Price Pre-Market Direction PreMarket Quote
ORCL 26.04 -0.3 Down 25.74
ACN 41.52 -0.22 Down 41.3
TIBX 10.61 0.51 Up 11.12
FINL 14.66 0.94 Up 15.6
WTSLA 4.68 0
Unchg 4.68
SMOD 7.16 1.29 Up 8.45









Thursday, March 25, 2010

ORCL - Updated














Oracle Corp. (ORCL) said Thursday its fiscal third-quarter net income fell to $1.2 billion, or 23 cents a share, from $1.3 billion, or 26 cents a share a year ago. Revenue rose to $6.4 billion up from $5.5 billion a year ago.

FDX - Updated














Apr 90 Call
FDX100417C000900003.30Up 0.922.702.755017,348

Apr 90 Put
FDX100417P000900001.44Down 0.511.741.791454,466

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

FDX














This was a hard one to get around, as it traded in a very tight range with low volume. Look for demand at 89.95 level. The daily chart appears to be forming a bull flag pole. Gap fill to the downside around 87.30 - 87.35.

Apr 90 Call
FDX100417C000900002.46Down 0.942.362.412,1207,140

Apr 90 Put
FDX100417P000900002.11Up 0.662.092.14974,165

Saturday, March 20, 2010

SPY - Updated














Markets were in the red all day, which was basis for the USD and HealthCare. Moreover, it was that it was Triple Witching for Options. The SPY found demand at the 115.56 level, trying to make a run to the 116.00 level at close of market.

Apr 116 Call
SPY100417C001160001.95Down 0.271.911.958,70957,523

Apr 116 Put
SPY100417P001160001.85Up 0.141.851.9027,69074,962

Thursday, March 18, 2010

FDX - Updated














FDX was gapping down to a decent support area around 87. In a strong market stocks that gap to longer term support usually have some type of bounce. Although I wasn’t expecting it to run all the way, back filling the gap and then some.

FedEx Corp. FDX 92.75 2.95 3.29% 87.85 92.96 87.00 12.75 m

FDX - Earnings














FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) also reported earnings. Their results for the fiscal third-quarter earnings more than doubled, topping the company's own estimates. Initially the stock was crushed pre market and on the open. Then a major reversal took place. The stock has recovered its early losses and is now trading flat.

Pre-Market
FedEx Corp. FDX 87.84 -1.96 -2.18% 884.9 k

Thursday, March 11, 2010

SPY - Spiders
















Pretty much light volume is floating the Spiders higher.

Stock Market - ML = Morning Line












Futures held steady as the jobs number came out at 2.50; currently a new snap shot shows them at 3.00. Job Data was in-line with the estimates. Loss of 6,000 previous or 2,000 from analysts estimates. We are still in a very tight market range and the S&P 500 - Spiders did break the 115 level, which is a good sign that the sell/short rule is working to prop this market higher.

Thursday, March 4, 2010

Overnight Futures - Ready and Steady












Steady as it goes, into that gen-teal goodnight.


Preview Of Stocks To Watch For Monday - Earnings Due:

Starwood Property Trust, Inc. STWD After Market Close


18.63
TIVO INC TIVO After Market Close


16.53

Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Overnight Futures - Before EcoNews












Mar 04 8:30 AM Initial Claims 02/27



Mar 04 8:30 AM Continuing Claims 02/20



Mar 04 8:30 AM Productivity-Rev. Q4



Mar 04 8:30 AM Unit Labor Costs Q4



Mar 04 10:00 AM Factory Orders Jan



Mar 04 10:00 AM Pending Home Sales Jan



COST - COST US A GOOD TRADE























Costco Wholesale Corp. reported second-quarter net income rose to $299 million, or 67 cents per diluted share, from $239 million, or 55 cents per share a year earlier and total revenue rose to $18.7 billion from $16.8 billion for the same period a year ago.

Well, we decide to wait a little bit to long to jump into this trade, as the stock gap down and options opened down to .80 and than traded all the way back to 1.85. All this occurred in .50 to 1.00 hr time frame.

Morning Marjor - Scan



Ticker Company Sector Price Volume
GOOG Google Inc. Technology 541.06 4,356,800.00
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation Services 61.38 4,126,100.00
TM Toyota Motor Corp. Consumer Goods 74.42 1,808,600.00
NOVL Novell Inc. Technology 4.75 11,506,700.00
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Inc. Services 36.47 1,284,900.00
MDVN Medivation, Inc. Healthcare 40.25 1,573,800.00

At the time of this post the market appears to be heading lower to flat, in front of the initial ADP numbers for Feb. Will take a back seat for the numbers to digest with the market.

Monday, March 1, 2010

Options Testing

Gap - GPS








Feb 26 Quote
Mar 21 Call Opened .85
Mar 22.50 Call Opened .15

Mar 1 Quote
Mar 21 Call Closed Even
Mar 22.50 Call Closed Even

Loss/Even

Deck - Deckers Outdoor








Feb 26 Quote
Mar 120 Call Opened 1.60
Mar 125 Call Opened 3.50

Mar 1 Quote
Mar 120 Call Closed 2.35
Mar 125 Call Closed 5.40

Profitable/Gain